Abstract: With the arrival of the second decade of the 21st century, the tide of transparency in steel trade information is unstoppable. The days of relying on information asymmetry to obtain high profits in the 1980s and 1990s are gone forever. In today's promotion of Internet + development, the most intuitive way to grasp the market is to look at futures. Starting today, Xiaobian will distribute a piece of knowledge about futures every day.
In the park merchants, you can not speculate on futures, but you must not look at futures.
Why can't you watch the futures? Many people understand that the development of steel trade e-commerce is springing up like a mushroom, and it is convenient to know the spot price. However, everyone ignores a question. Who is the dominant force in leading steel prices, is the spot price and futures, or the futures price and spot? ?
The answer is simple, it is the volume! The price is persuasive, stemming from the amount of money sold at this price; the more people are trading at the same price, the more buyers and sellers agree that the price is recognized, and the people who participate in the transaction will have to follow the price of the previous one. Contest.
Just last week (April 21), the turnover of only the main contract of rebar futures was as high as 605.6 billion yuan, exceeding the total turnover of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets by 54.21 billion yuan, equivalent to 223 million tons of thread. Steel is in today's hands. China produces 1.2 billion tons of steel per year, of which about 200 million tons of rebar is equivalent to the annual production.
From this point of view, whoever dominates the steel price answer is already very obvious, even as the largest steel store in the face of huge capital market is only a drop in the ocean, so the knowledge of steel futures is not only to look at the futures client is the number is red or green, but also Understand the meaning of each number and pattern inside.
Next, Xiaobian will answer the question of the relationship between futures prices and spot prices, so stay tuned.
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